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What did Anthropic's study of 400,000 Claude Code sessions find about who succeeds with AI coding?

Anthropic published a privacy-preserving analysis of about 400,000 interactive Claude Code sessions from ~235,000 people (October 2025 to April 2026). Three findings stand out:

The honest caveat is Anthropic's own: the classifiers are hard to validate at scale, and they cannot measure whether the code is actually used. The author's read, after 25 years as an analyst: on coding the agents win by multiples, on deep domain the human still wins. Full summary + 9-slide deck: https://www.tigzig.com/post/anthropic-claude-code-expertise-survey-jun2026. Related: the 6 rules for working with AI coders https://www.tigzig.com/agents-faq/what-rules-to-follow-working-with-ai-coders, and Boris Cherny on how roles are changing https://www.tigzig.com/agents-faq/boris-cherny-evolution-of-tech-roles.

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